California Power ? Crisis ?
Last Up date on: 2003 November 14
Easy Solution--If it cost more people will use less.
Recent changes: This needs updating!
I went through my San Jose PG & E bills since I bought the house in
August of 1980 and have put the summer and winter rates in a table. You
can see it at:
San Jose PG & E electric rates
since January 1981. The main points are: In 1981 the first 240
kilowatts cost slightly under 4 cents per kilowatt, anything over 240
KWH costs over 8 cents per kilowatt. In 1981 the Dow Jones went from a
low of 824.01 to a high of 1024.05 Today the Dow Jones is over 11,000.
It is more than 11 times higher than it was in 1981. If electric rates
had kept pace we would be paying between 44 and 88 cents per kilowatt.
But, we are paying between 11 and 13 cents per kilowatt hour. Is it
any surprise PG & E has been forced into Bankruptcy? Take a look at
the table there is a lot more there.
But, the "California Cry Babies" want the Federal Government to impose
price caps on what producers can charge.
What the entire nation needs
is more electrical power generating facilities. Federal Price caps will
certainly stop any new investment in power generation. I hope Bush and
the smarter people will realize this.
Indeed, the best thing the
Federal Government could do to increase power generation would be to
announce that there would be no price caps, and any income produce from
power generation would be tax free for at least the next twenty years.
Investors and venture capitol would poor into the power generation
business and the problem would be solved.
I moved to California in the fall of 1969. At that time when I moved
into an apartment the only heat was electric. Electric heat is very
convenient for builders. It is clean, needs no vents, no plumbing, don't
leak, can easily be routed to any location, and each renter has his own
billing. It is far the cheapest heating system to install. And when
electricity prices are low nobody complains.
But, consider the following laws of physics: Conservation
of energy and matter. Energy cannot be created or destroyed, save
nuclear which converts matter to energy. The lowest form of energy is
heat, and when we think we are using energy we are in fact just
converting it to heat. When we put on the breaks in a car we are just
converting the energy of motion to heat in the breaks. The engine in
the car burns gasoline to create heat to expand the gases and push the
pistons, the energy from the gas turns to heat. Most of it is expelled
through the exhaust and radiator; a small portion of it moves the car,
even that is converted to heat by the stirring of the air and in the
brakes.
An engine or steam turbine can extract a little mechanical energy
(which can be converted to electricity with a generator) as it transfers
heat from a high temperature to a lower temperature. The efficiency of
doing this is proportional to the temperature difference.
This is what Rudolf Diesel knew and prompted him to make
an engine that did not have the fuel in the cylinder until it was ready
to fire. Not having the fuel allowed much higher compression which
meant higher temperature, thus a more efficient engine.
The best that a modern electrical power plant can do to generate electricity
is about 50% efficiency. That is why you see huge cooling towers at
power plants. (A lot of nuclear plants are build on rivers so they can
expend the heat into the water.)
With power line losses when we burn gas, Diesel fuel, coal, or
Uranium to generate electricity; we are lucky if we get 25% of the energy
into our home. This is why it will never be practical to use electricity
for heat; unless the government taxes to subsidize the cost of
electricity so it can be wasted. But, this is exactly what Gray Davis
is doing and is trying to sell to the people of California; so he can
claim he kept electric rates low, and hopefully get more votes. Gray
Davis's goal is to get TV coverage and run for president
in 2004. Unfortunately, people are stupid enough that it might
work!
I should not be surprised, Government is above rules and anything
that might interfere with their socializing and clipping their finger
nails.
Am I cynical? Your damn right! It is the stupidity of California
Government that caused the predicament that California is now in. They
have the audacity to call it "Deregulation" but in reality it was
government regulation. The politicians pass laws limiting what the
electric could charge for electricity under the disguise that they were
protecting the voters from high electricity prices. Furthermore the
utility companies were forced to buy outside power; it was an unfair
monopoly if they generated their own. The result is that the power
companies have to buy power on the opened market but they have to sell
it for prices that are essentially the same as they were at the end of
World War II. No business can operate under such stupid rules. Pacific
Gas and Electric has been paying 31 cents per Kilowatt hour but only
allowed to sell it for around 6 cents per Kilowatt. Thanks to
government stupidity, the power companies are so far in debt that they
cannot buy power and their stock is at the same level as "Junk Bonds".
The California Governor, has just committed the state to go into the
power buying selling business. What will be next? Are they going to
pass laws that fix the price that stations can charge for gasoline
ignoring what their wholesale prices are? Then the state can take over
the Oil Refining business. Next, they should limit the sales prices for
groceries, then when the grocery stores go into bankruptcy the
government can take them over also. It has been shown that Government
running everything in Russia was a disaster, but this is exactly what we
are doing in California. Look and the way government runs the
Department of Motor Vehicles, or Cal Trans, or Amtrak. They do a
terrible job and always run at a loss, but kept going with ever
increasing taxes.
Fri 05-18-2001
Things are no better, within the last 3 weeks we have had "rolling
Blackouts" then the weather cooled a bit and the air conditioning load
dropped; but this weekend temperatures are expected to approach 100
degrees by monday.
Mon 04-09-2001
Still all Grey Davis has accomplished is nearly bankrupting California,
and got bonds that we will be paying on for God knows how many years;
and forced PG & E into Bankruptcy. He threatened to take their last
resource: their transmission lines. Now, I hope a Federal Judge will
tell him hands off.
Wed 02-21-2001
After a month things have only got worse. The street lights mentioned
below are still on in the middle of the day! Gray Davis has spent
nearly 15 Billion $ and done nothing to help the situation. Government
is the worst of unregulated monopolies. Oppose or ignore government
orders and you face prison or execution. Look at the retirement
benefits Congress has made for themselves. No private business would
ever be allowed such corruption.
Wed 01-24-2001
Once in June 2000 and then on 2001
Jan 17th and 18th there were "Rolling Blackouts" in San Jose. On the
17th I was coming from getting my mail in Sunnyvale, it was 12:37 PM,
and I noticed along Trimbel Road that all the street lights were on!
Mid day with clear blue sky in the middle of a "Rolling Blackout".
Indeed, at Zanker Road and on toward Interstate 880 all the traffic
lights were out and the traffic was going very slow. When I got home I
called my district's (4) San Jose council man Chuck Reed's office. They
were very polite and seemed surprised and said they would notify the
Roads Department. But, on the 19th in the middle of a "Stage 3 alert"
when I was going to get my mail at 11:10 AM the lights were still on,
and when I came back an hours or so later they were still on. These
street lights (not traffic lights) have been every day and are still on
today: Wed 01-24-2001.